SBIR/STTR · Department of Health and Human Services component

National Institutes of Health: SBIR/STTR odds

8,103 Phase I and 4,221 Phase II awards since 2015, to 4,617 firms.

The verdict for a first-time applicant

A realistic program for a prepared first-timer. 38% of Phase I awards go to new firms; 38% of Phase I awards (2015–2020 cohorts) converted to Phase II.

Median Phase I is $300K, median Phase II $1.6M. Phase II typically follows 19 months after Phase I. The 20 most frequent firms take 6% of Phase I awards.

Phase I → Phase II
38%
2015–2020 cohorts, 3-yr window
First-time firms
38%
of Phase I awards, 2021–2023
Median Phase I
$300K
2,481 awards, 2021–2023
Median Phase II
$1.6M
1,505 awards, 2021–2023
Months to Phase II
19
median, Phase I award to Phase II award
Top-20 firm share
6%
of Phase I awards

Open SBIR/STTR solicitations at Department of Health and Human Services

Phase I → Phase II by cohort

Share of each year's Phase I awards followed by a Phase II within three years. Cohorts after 2020 are still open, so their rates will rise.

Phase I yearPhase I awardsConvertedFirm-level
201580745%55%
201686342%54%
201789237%52%
20181,11137%51%
20191,12235%50%
202082733%49%
2021open84025%41%
2022open82513%28%
2023open8162%12%

Awards by year

YearPhase IPhase I $Phase IIPhase II $
2015807$240M394$574M
2016863$251M441$685M
2017892$246M479$789M
20181,111$315M405$702M
20191,122$339M473$858M
2020827$274M524$1.0B
2021840$295M473$927M
2022825$292M503$903M
2023816$272M529$590M

By topic prefix

Topic codes group solicitations by office. Conversion is shown where enough Phase IIs matched a Phase I topic.

PrefixPhase IPhase IIPhase I→II
NIAID96643136%
NHLBI80240438%
NIA49027650%
NIDA36916542%
NICHD36119947%
NCI28019228%
R24218134%
NIAMS2148532%
NIBIB1435039%
NIEHS1354933%
NEI1096327%
NINDS1083730%
N974630%
NIDCD925548%
NIDCR775535%
NIDDK572234%
NIMHD391835%
NCATS371041%
OD28732%
NLM27717%

Most frequent winners

Firms with 20 or more Phase I awards from National Institutes of Health since 2015. Know who you're up against.

FirmStatePhase IPhase II
PHYSICAL SCIENCES INC.MA3424
Epicypher, Inc.NC3026
ELECTRONIC BIOSCIENCES, INC.CA303
Minnesota HealthSolutions CorporationMN2917
LYNNTECH INC.TX275
LARIX BIOSCIENCE LLCCA241
CELDARA MEDICAL, LLCNH2313
MICROBIOTIX, INC.MA237
OREGON RESEARCH BEHAVIORAL INTERVENTION STRATEGIES, INC.OR2110
CFD RESEARCH CORPORATIONAL217
GINER INCMA207

Common questions

What are the odds of a Phase II after a National Institutes of Health Phase I?

38% of Phase I awards in the 2015–2020 cohorts were followed by a Phase II to the same firm within three years. Counting at the firm level (any Phase II, not matched to the Phase I topic), the rate is 52%. About 40% of recent Phase IIs had no matching Phase I in the data, which includes Direct-to-Phase-II awards.

Does National Institutes of Health fund first-time SBIR firms?

38% of Phase I awards in 2021–2023 went to firms with no prior SBIR/STTR award from any agency. The 20 most frequent winners took 6% of Phase I awards.

How current is this data?

SBIR.gov's public award export runs through 2023; the site re-computes these numbers when the export updates. Open solicitations below come from Grants.gov and are refreshed every 10 minutes.

Source: SBIR.gov award data (award_data.csv downloaded 2026-10-28; awards through 2023). overall/byCohort: share of Phase I awards followed by a Phase II to the same firm from the same agency/component with Phase II award year ≤ Y+3; each Phase II counts for at most one Phase I, matched first on identical topic code, then (for agencies whose topic code is a per-round solicitation number) to any remaining same-firm Phase II that is not Direct-to-Phase-II (firm matched on DUNS, else normalized name + state; matchedByTopicShare = share of matches made on topic code). firmLevel: share of distinct firm × Phase I-year pairs that received any Phase II from the same agency/component within 3 years (looser; inflated by multi-award firms). overall figures use cohorts 2015–2020, the cohorts whose 3-year window has closed in this data vintage; later cohorts are partial. p2WithoutMatchedP1Share5y: share of 2021+ Phase II awards with no matched Phase I (largely Direct-to-Phase-II). This section is for startups and small businesses; it is not legal or procurement advice.

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